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Title: Social Sciences/Economics/Environmental Economics - Dieoff Essays, charts and links illustrating predicted environmental and economic trends including oil reserve depletion, food production, and population.
Durable_Economics Essay about how we can use durability as a means of conservation with related links.

Ecological_Economics_and_Sustainable_Development_Laboratory Fostering interdisciplinary work involving ecologists and economists, bringing together natural scientists and social scientists. Department of Economics, University of Crete, Greece. In English and G

Ecological_Economics_at_Malardalen_University Ecological Economics course, which aims at understanding the connections between environmental issues, economics and the development of society.

Economics_and_Environmental_Science This is an educational site describing the field of environmental economics and the Ph.D. level training program in environmental economics at the University of California, Santa Barbara. Links to ad

Economics_as_if_The_Earth_Really_Mattered Excerpts from the book by by Susan Meeker-Lowry.

Economics_of_Needs_and_Limits An alternative theory of economic thought, based on human needs and natural limits, by Frank Rotering.


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BRAIN FOOD TABLE OF CONTENTS Links to New Flash Videos! AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','src','l1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','l1_I' ); //end AC code Limits to Growth: Oil AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','title','Limits to Growth: America','src','l2_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','l2_I' ); //end AC code Limits to Growth: America AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','src','p1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','p1_I' ); //end AC code Politics AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','src','m1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?m1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','m1_I' ); //end AC code Money AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','164','height','120','align','middle','title','Corporations','src','c1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','c1_I' ); //end AC code Corporations AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','title','Behavior One','src','b1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','b1_I' ); //end AC code Behavior One AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','160','height','120','title','Prehistoric Economics','src','e1_I','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','e1_I' ); //end AC code Prehistoric Economics   ( About a dozen more videos will be produced over the next couple of years.) Contact Jay Hanson AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','128','height','96','src','pump','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','pump' ); //end AC code Synopsis AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','40','height','90','src','BigPicture','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','BigPicture' ); //end AC code TheBigPicture Do you have questions? Join the following group and ask http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/WarSocialism AC_FL_RunContent( 'codebase','http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=9,0,28,0','width','640','height','480','src','DuncanUS','quality','high','pluginspage','http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash','movie','DuncanUS' ); //end AC code "The members of the American economics profession, as Arnold contended, performed a vital practical role in maintaining this unique system of corporate socialism American style. It was their role to prevent the American public from achieving a correct understanding of the actual workings of the American economic system. Economists instead were assigned the task to dispense priestly blessings that would allow business to operate independent of damaging political manipulation. They accomplished this task by means of their message of 'laissez faire religion, based on a conception of a society composed of competing individuals.' However false as a description of the actual U.S. economy, this vision in the mind of the American public was in practice 'transferred automatically to industrial organizations with nation-wide power and dictatorial forms of government.' Even though the arguments of economists were misleading and largely fictional, the practical -- and beneficial -- result of their deception was to throw a 'mantle of protection ... over corporate government' from various forms of outside interference. Admittedly, as the economic 'symbolism got farther and farther from reality, it required more and more ceremony to keep it up.' But as long as this arrangement worked and there could be maintained 'the little pictures in the back of the head of the ordinary man,' the effect was salutary -- 'the great [corporate] organization was secure in its freedom and independence.' It was this very freedom and independence of business professionals to pursue the correct scientific answer -- the efficient answer -- on which the economic progress of the United States depended." [ Robert H. Nelson in http://dieoff.com/page235.htm ] The human species may be seen as having evolved in the service of entropy, and it cannot be expected to outlast the dense accumulations of energy that have helped define its niche. Human beings like to believe they are in control of their destiny, but when the history of life on Earth is seen in perspective, the evolution of Homo sapiens is merely a transient episode that acts to redress the planet's energy balance. -– David Price Energy has always been the basis of cultural complexity and it always will be. … the past clarifies potential paths to the future. One often-discussed path is cultural and economic simplicity and lower energy costs. This could come about through the "crash" that many fear -- a genuine collapse over a period of one or two generations, with much violence, starvation, and loss of population. The alternative is the "soft landing" that many people hope for - a voluntary change to solar energy and green fuels, energy-conserving technologies, and less overall consumption. This is a utopian alternative that, as suggested above, will come about only if severe, prolonged hardship in industrial nations makes it attractive, and if economic growth and consumerism can be removed from the realm of ideology. -– Joseph A. Tainter     If one considers the last one hundred years of the U.S. experience, fuel use and economic output are highly correlated... Energy quality is by far the dominant factor. -- Cleveland, Costanza, Hall, and Kaufmann (Science 225: 890-897) ENERGY"Industry deregulation of electric utilities in the U.S. has cut utility investment in energy saving programmes by 45 percent." [Reuters, 10/02/98] METHANE MADNESS: A NATURAL GAS PRIMER, by Randy Udall & Steve Andrews, 04/13/2001 Analysis of the IEO2001 Non-OPEC Supply Projections, by Roger D. Blanchard, Northern Kentucky University, 4/9/2001 Emergy Accounting, April 2000, Howard T. Odum, Environmental Engineering Sciences,University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA; mailto:htoeco@aol.com "Oceanic Hydrates: more questions than answers" by Jean Laherrere e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr for Energy Exploration and Exploitation date May 3, 2000 THE PEAK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION AND THE ROAD TO THE OLDUVAI GORGE, by Richard C. Duncan, Ph.D., Pardee Keynote Symposia, Geological Society of America, Summit 2000, Reno, Nevada, November 13, 2000. ENERGETIC LIMITS TO GROWTH, by Jay Hanson, ENERGY Magazine, Spring, 1999 THE BEST-KEPT SECRET IN WASHINGTON, Brain Food -- Third Quarter, 1999 ENERGY AND RESOURCE QUALITY, by Charles A.S. Hall, et al. (1992) Is USGS 2000 assessment reliable ?, by Jean Laherrere; e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr; May 2, 2000; published on the cyberconference of the WEC on May 19, 2000  NOT ALL FIRST WORLD ECONOMIES DEPEND ON POPULATION GROWTH: IMMIGRATION SINCE THE OIL SHOCK IN FRANCE AND EUROPE, By Sheila Newman; mailto:smnaesp@alphalink.com.au Oceanic Hydrates: an elusive resource, by e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr THE HUBBERT CURVE : ITS STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES; by J.H. Laherrère e-mail: j.h.laherrere@infonie.fr An Analysis of U.S. and World Oil Production Patterns Using Hubbert-Style Curves, by Albert A. Bartlett, Department of Physics, University of Colorado at Boulder, 80309-0390; Albert.Bartlett@Colorado.EDU "Quels sont les problèmes quand on parle de réserves?", Jean Laherrère e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr  site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere ; Conférence AFTP du 31 Mars 1999 "Estimation des réserves et réduction de l'incertitude"; Pétrole et Techniques n°423 Nov./Dec. 1999 p37-47 NEVER PUBLISHED ANYWHERE BEFORE! Oil Production Curves for all 42 Countries, by Richard Duncan. link to THE IMMINENT PEAK OF WORLD OIL PRODUCTION, by C.J. Campbell; A Presentation to a House of Commons All-Party Committee on July 7th 1999,  THE WORLD PETROLEUM LIFE-CYCLE: Encircling the Production Peak #3, by Richard Duncan, Institute on Energy and Man, Seattle, WA, 1999. The Post-Petroleum Paradigm -- and Population, by Walter Youngquist; Population and Environment, March 1999 The Olduvai Theory: Sliding Towards a Post-Industrial Stone Age, by Dr. R. C. Duncan, July 1996 The End of Cheap Oil, by Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrère, Scientific American, 3/98 THE COMING OIL CRISIS, by C. J. Campbell, 1997. Energy and Human Evolution, by David Price, 1995 Complexity, Problem Solving, and Sustainable Societies, by Joseph A. Tainter, 1996 Evolution of "development lag" and "development ratio", presented at "Oil reserve conference" in Paris November 11, 1997 International Energy Agency, Jean Laherrère,  Associate consultant Petroconsultants, e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr , site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere. Distribution and evolution of "recovery factor", presented at "Oil reserves conference" in Paris November 11, 1997, by International Energy Agency, Jean Laherrère, Associate consultant Petroconsultants, e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr , site: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/laherrere The Impact of Declining Major North Sea Oil Fields Upon Future North Sea Production, by Roger D. Blanchard, Northern Kentucky University. THE EVOLUTION OF THE WORLD'S HYDROCARBON RESERVES, by J.H. Laherrère e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr, lecture given in French on June 17, 1998 in Paris to SPE France Assessing Oil and Gas Future Production, and the end of Cheap Oil?, by J. H. Laherrere, e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr, site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere, for Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists in Calgary April 6, 1999 Reserve Growth: Technological Progress, or Bad Reporting and Bad Arithmetic? by J. H. Laherrère; Geopolitics of Energy Issue 22 n°4, p7-16, April 1999 What goes up must come down: when will it peak? by J. H. Laherrère Consultant Paris France: e-mail: jean.laherrere@wanadoo.fr  site: http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere  Titanic Sinks, by Jay Hanson, June 24, 1998 GeoDestinies, by Walter Youngquist PhD & Chair Emeritus, Department of Geology, University of Oregon, 1997. Renewable Energy: Economic and Environmental Issues, by David Pimentel, G. Rodrigues, T. Wane, R. Abrams, K. Goldberg, H. Staecker, E. Ma, L. Brueckner, L. Trovato, C. Chow, U. Govindarajulu, and S. Boerke. (Originally published in BioScience -- Vol. 44, No. 8, September 1994) eMergy Evaluation, by Howard T. Odum, May 27, 1998 Scientists sense urgency to find future energy sources, Nando Times, October 28, 1998 3:08 p.m Here We Go Again: The Oil Surplus Won't Last as Long as we Might Wish, by James Srodes, Barrons, Oct 19, 1998 link to Joy Ride to Global Collapse, by Jim Minter (1966) Life-Expectancy of Industrial Civilization, Robert L. Hickerson, August 2, 1997 WHEN WILL THE JOY RIDE END? Community Office for Resource Efficiency a snip from ENERGY AND THE ECONOMICS OF SUSTAINABILITY by John Peet; Island Press, 1992. the prologue to BEYOND OIL: The Threat to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decades. Third Edition (1991) by John Gever, Robert Kaufman, David Skole, Charles Vorosmarty. Some fear the world may be running out of oil. September 5, 1998, Nando Times. SPENDING OUR GREAT INHERITANCE -- THEN WHAT? by Walter Youngquist. Geotimes, July 1998, pages 24-26. link Energy apocalypse looms as the world runs out of oil. Forget the Caspian bonanza! Peter Beaumont and John Hooper in Rome report that producers misled everybody, Sunday July 26, 1998, Observer (london) link June 15 issue of Forbes! CHEAP OIL: enjoy it while it lasts. p. 84 Franco Bernabe, chief executive of the Italian oil company ENI, sees a global oil production peak and 1970s-style oil shocks beginning between 2000 and 2005. A Peak Under the Covers, by Jay Hanson, 11/11/97. The Death of the Oil Economy, by Ted Trainer, Spring, 1997. Get Ready for Another Oil Shock, by L.F. Ivanhoe, February, 1997. Future world oil supplies: There is a finite limit. Ivanhoe on Hubbert (1995).ECONOMICS Got Economics? FIVE FUNDAMENTAL ERRORS: The Short Version, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001 FIVE FUNDAMENTAL ERRORS: The Long Version, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001 ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001 A SECT WITH A CREED AND A POLITICAL PROGRAM, by Jay Hanson, 11/13/2001 REACHING FOR HEAVEN ON EARTH, by Robert H. Nelson A MEANS OF CONTROL, The Last Scheduled BRAIN FOOD, by Jay Hanson, 01/01/00 "The Foulest of Them All", by Jay Hanson, Jan, 1999 MAXIMUM POWER, by Jay Hanson, 01/01/2001 The need to reintegrate the natural sciences into economics, by By Charles Hall 1 , Dietmar Lindenberger 2 , Reiner Kümmel 3 , Timm Kroeger 1 , and Wolfgang Eichhorn 4, 3/31/2001 Is the Argentine National Economy being destroyed by the Department of Economics of the University of Chicago? , by Charles A. S. Hall, Pablo Daniel Matossian, Claudio Ghersa, Jorge Calvo,Clara Olmedo 3/31/2001FAITH AND CREDIT: The World Bank's Secular EmpireNEOLIBERAL NOSTRUMS, by Andrew McKillop,THIS WAY FOR THE GAS, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, by Tadeusz Borowski, # 119198Los Sangre Es en Tus Manos, by Jay Hanson, April, 1999Dangerous Currents, by Lester Thurow; Random, 1983"The Market" is simply "Too Cheap to Meter", by Jay Hanson, 11/01/98It's the Money, Stupid!, by Jay Hanson, August 10, 1998Energy and Economic Myths, by Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen (1975)What is Life?, by Erwin Shrödinger. First published in 1944Lunatic Politics, by Jay Hanson, June 6, 1998THE ECONOMICS OF THE COMING SPACESHIP EARTH, by Kenneth E. Boulding, 1966Decision Making and Problem Solving, by Herbert A. Simon and Associates, 1986Opposing Globalization Could Justify Resource-Based Basic Income, by Mary LehmannFREE TRADE - NAFTA - WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPINGMYTHS OF THE POLITICAL-ECONOMIC WORLD VIEW, by John Peet, 1992.Energy, Entropy, Economics, and Ecology defines "entropy" and how it relates to the economy.SUSTAINABLE GROWTH: An Impossibility Theorem, by Herman E. Daly (1993)A Systems Perspective on the Interrelations Between Natural, human-made, and cultural capital, by Fikret Berkes & Carl Folke, Oct. 1991THE 4P APPROACH TO DEALING WITH SCIENTIFIC UNCERTAINTY, by Robert Costanza and Laura Cornwell (1992)THE PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE, is an alternative to cost/benefit analysisTOO MANY RICH PEOPLE: Weighing Relative Burdens on the Planet, by Paul Ehrlich (1994)WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE GDP is a description of the Genuine Progress Indicator-GPI.STEADY-STATE ECONOMICS: A Catechism of Growth Fallacies, by Herman Daly (1991).TOWARDS A NEW ECONOMICS: Questioning Growth, by Herman E. Daly, 1971MONEY AND MAGIC A review of H.C. Binswanger's Money and Magic (A Critique of the Modern Economy in Light of Goethe's Faust) University of Chicago Press. by Herman Daly (Winter, 1996)SUGARSCAPE A review from SCIENCE NEWS.OUR PERPETUAL GROWTH UTOPIA by Fred Charles Ikle (1994)FAREWELL LECTURE TO WORLD BANK, by Herman E. Daly, January 14, 1994SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUSRS AND NAS STATEMENT is the official 1992 statement of the Royal Society and the National Academy of Sciences.WORLD SCIENTISTS' WARNING TO HUMANITY is from the Union of Concerned Scientists in 1992.WORLD SCIENTISTS' CALL FOR ACTION AT THE KYOTO CLIMATE SUMMITScience Summit" on World Population: A Joint Statement by 58 of the World's Scientific Academies.ESA Passes Resolution on Human Population from the Ecological Society of America (1994)ECONOMIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING Feb. 13, 1997ECOLOGIST'S STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING May 20, 1997link to TROUBLED WATERS: A CALL FOR ACTIONFOOD, LAND, WATER AND POPULATIONzaire_goma_dead_30.gif (53088 bytes)zaire_goma_dead_30.gif (53088 bytes)zaire_goma_dead_30.gif (53088 bytes)Humans have destroyed more than 30 per cent of the natural world since 1970 with serious depletion of the forest, freshwater and marine systems on which life depends. [Guardian, 10/2/98]Age-adjusted mortality in Russia rose by almost 33% between 1990 and 1994.... Russia is not alone in experiencing drops in life expectancy; all the nations created from the break-up of the Soviet Union have reported a decline in life expectancy since 1990, although none has been as large as in Russia. [JAMA. 1998;279:793-800]Africa is beginning of a full-on Malthusian dieoff. See "Worldwatch Briefing: Sixteen Dimensions of the Population Problem" at http://www.worldwatch.org/alerts/pr98924.html and "Life on Earth is Killing Us" press release at  http://www.enn.com/news/enn-stories/1998/10/100298/killingus.asp and study itself is here."To put this in context, you must remember that estimates of the long-term carrying capacity of Earth with relatively optimistic assumptions about consumption, technologies, and equity (A x T), are in the vicinity of two billion people. Today's population cannot be sustained on the 'interest' generated by natural ecosystems, but is consuming its vast supply of natural capital -- especially deep, rich agricultural soils, 'fossil' groundwater, and biodiversity -- accumulated over centuries to eons. In some places soils, which are generated on a time scale of centimeters per century are disappearing at rates of centimeters per year. Some aquifers are being depleted at dozens of times their recharge rates, and we have embarked on the greatest extinction episode in 65 million years." Paul Ehrlich (Sept. 25, 1998)As capitalism fails in more-and-more countries, these countries will disintegrate too. Ultimately of course, this will lead to world wars over natural resources. See Homer-Dixon's work at http://utl2.library.utoronto.ca/www/pcs/tad.htmBIODIVERSITY DECAYRecent Developments in Environmental Sciences, by Paul Ehrlich, Sept. 25, 1998Revisiting Carrying Capacity, by William E. Rees, 1996WILL LIMITS OF THE EARTH'S RESOURCES CONTROL HUMAN NUMBERS?, by David Pimentel, O. Bailey, P. Kim, E. Mullaney, J. Calabrese, L. Walman, F. Nelson, and X. Yao; February 25, 1999Ecology of Increasing Disease, by David Pimentel, October, 1998THE MASSIVE MOVEMENT TO MARGINALIZE THE MODERN MALTHUSIAN MESSAGE, by Albert A. Bartlett. This is a revised version of an article that was published in The Social Contract Vol. 8, No. 3, Spring 1998, Pgs. 239 - 251LAND, ENERGY AND WATER: THE CONSTRAINTS GOVERNING IDEAL U.S. POPULATION SIZE, by David Pimentel and Marcia Pimentel (1991)link to U.S. FOOD PRODUCTION THREATENED BY RAPID POPULATION GROWTH, the Pimentels (1997)link to Food Security for a Growing World Population 200 Years After Malthus, Still an Unsolved ProblemOptimum Human Population Size, by Gretchen C. DailyRestoring Value to the WorId's Degraded Lands, by Gretchen C. Daily (1995)An exploratory model of the impact of rapid climate change on the world food situation, by Grechen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1990)FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-FULL REPORT, by David Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della Nutrizione, Rome. November 21, 1994CONSTRAINTS ON THE EXPANSION OF THE GLOBAL FOOD SUPPLY, by Henery W Kindall and David Pimentel (1994)Response to Bartlett and Lytwak (1995): Population and Immigration Policy in the United States , by Anne H. Ehrlich Paul R. EhrlichChronic Famine and the Immorality of Food Aid, by Joseph Fletcher (1991)THE CORNUCOPIAN FALLACIES, by Lindsey Grant (1992)IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON FOOD SUPPLIES AND ENVIRONMENT, by David Pimentel, Xuewen Huang, Ana Cordova, and Marcia Pimentel (February, 1996)KERMIT OLSON MEMORIAL LECTURE: Food Supply and World Population, by David Pimentel (March, 6, 1995)Putting the Bite on Planet Earth, by Don Hinrichson, Oct. 1994ENERGY AND POPULATION: Transitional Issues and Eventual Limits, by Paul J. Werbos (1993?)FOOD, LAND, POPULATION and the U.S. ECONOMY-EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, by David Pimentel of Cornell University and Mario Giampietro Istituto of Nazionale della Nutrizione, Rome. Executive Summary Released November 21, 1994IMMIGRATION: NO. 1 IN U.S. GROWTH New Look Shows Greater Role in 1970-90 Population Increase, by Roy Beck (1991-1992)THE POPULATION EXPLOSION is from Paul and Anne Ehirlich. This is also where to find JULIAN SIMON'S BET and HIS ULTIMATE RESOURCEHow and Why Journalists Avoid the Population-Environment Connection, by T. Michael Maher, March 1997Negative Population Growth, by John B. Hall, Sept. 1996The Food "Surplus": a Staple Illusion of Economics; a Cruel Illusion for Populations, by Jim C. Fandrem, Winter, 1988Rethinking the Environmental Impacts of Population, Affluence and Technology, by Thomas Dietz and Eugene A. Rosa (1994)WHY DO WOMEN HAVE BABIES? A book review by Robert A. McConnell (September, 1996)HOW TO INFLUENCE FERTILITY: The Experience So Far, by John R. Weeks (1990)THE TIGHTENING CONFLICT: POPULATION, ENERGY USE, AND THE ECOLOGY OF AGRICULTURE, by Mario Giampietro and David Pimentel (1994)LIVING WITHIN OUR ENVIRONMENTAL MEANS: Natural Resources And An Optimum Human Population, by Rachel F. Preiser (1994)National Security Study Memorandum 200 April 24, 1974The 1972 Rockefeller Commission Report on U. S. Population, July, 1969WHY EXCESS IMMIGRATION DAMAGES THE ENVIRONMENT from Population-Environment Balance (1992)IMMIGRATION, JOBS & WAGES: The Misuses of Econometrics, by Donald L. Huddle (1992)IMMIGRATION AND THE U.S. ENERGY SHORTAGE, by Donald Mann, President Negative Population Growth, Inc. (May 1988)FULL HOUSE is a Worldwatch book review.THE LAST OASIS is a Worldwatch book review.NET LOSS is a Worldwatch book review.TOP OF THE NINTH, by Joel CampbellCLIMATE CHANGEJames White, co-author of a study published in the journal Science, said that the Antarctica ice cores show a temperature increase of about 20 degrees F within a very short time about 12,500 years ago. .. Ice cores from Greenland, near the Arctic, show that at the same time there was a temperature increase of almost 59 degrees in the north polar region within a 50-year period, White said. [AP, 10/1/98]The National Climatic Data Center has just announced that last month was the warmest September on record - almost a degree F above the previous record and nearly 4 degrees F above the average. It is the 9th consecutive month to break the previous all-time record.   ... there are areas of the Earth, such as the Arctic, where the temperature increase is 3 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit. This is enough to melt permafrost, the permanently frozen ground that characterizes northern tundra bogs. And melting bogs release methane, a greenhouse gas. [UPI, 10/8/98]U.S. government scientists said this year's “ozone hole” over Antarctica was the largest ever observed, leaving an atmospheric depletion area greater than the size of North America over the southern land mass. [Nando, 10/7/98]THE CLIMATE BOMB: Climate Change and the Fate of the Northern Boreal Forests, Greenpeace, 1994SUDDEN CLIMATE CHANGE THROUGH HUMAN HISTORY, by Jonathan Adams and Randy FooteDead on Arrival: positive feedback in the climate systemBP STATEMENT ON GLOBAL WARMING, by John Browne, Group Chief Executive, British Petroleum (BP America) Stanford University, 19 May 1997THE HEAT IS ON: The warming of the world's climate sparks a blaze of denial, by Ross Gelbspan (12/95).DEAD. WRONG. Is a short essay on the fundamental errors of industrial society. Also included are some references for OZONE DEPLETION and GLOBAL WARMING.link to Changes in Time in the Temperature of the EarthA series of six charts displaying variations in temperature from the Mesozoic to the present, see the web site listed below. The current "blip" is put in perspective, based on the work of anumber of scientists. References are cited.link to Globally-Averaged Atmospheric Temperatures A brief discussion with figures depicting global lower stratospheric temperature variations during the period 1979 to 1997, based on dataobtained by the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration TIROS-N satellite.BUGSlink to Questions and Answers On Bio-Warfare/Bio-Terrorism (Q & A) with Dr. Ken Alibek http://www.emergency.com/1999/alibek99.htmlink to "The Bioweaponeers" at http://cryptome.org/bioweap.htmHEALTH IN THE HOT ZONE How would global warming affect humans? By Richard Monastersky (April, 1996)DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE, AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT, by Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich, 1995link to The Challenge of Antibiotic Resistance Certain bacterial infections now defy all antibiotics. The resistance problem may be reversible, but only if society begins to consider how the drugs affect "good" bacteria as well as "bad", by Stuart B. Levy (Scientific American, 03/98)link to Drugged Waters Does it matter that pharmaceuticals are turning up in water supplies? by Janet Raloff (Science News 3/21/98)MORAL THEORYA General Statement of the Tragedy of the Commons, by Herschel Elliott, Feb. 1997Christianity and Evolutionary Ethics , by Patricia A. Williams (June 1996)THE NEED FOR TRANSCENDENCE IN THE POSTMODERN WORLD a short essay by By Vaclav Havel (1994)CARRYING CAPACITY child.jpg (46948 bytes)OVERSHOOT, the classic by William Catton, 1982.Ethical Implications of Carrying Capacity , by Garrett Hardin (1977)CULTURAL CARRYING CAPACITY: A biological approach to human problems, by Garrett Hardin (1986)THE WORLD'S MOST POLYMORPHIC SPECIES: Carrying capacity transgressed two ways, by William Catton (June 1987).THE INTRODUCTION, INCREASE, AND CRASH OF REINDEER ON ST. MATTHEW ISLAND - by David R. Klein (April, 1968).POPULATION POLITICS: The Carrying Capacity of the United States, by Dr. Virginia Abernethy (1993)HUMAN CARRYING CAPACITY DEFINED defines "carrying capacity".TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONSWest Africa is becoming the symbol of worldwide demographic, environmental, and societal stress, in which criminal anarchy emerges as the real "strategic" danger. Disease, overpopulation, unprovoked crime, scarcity of resources, refugee migrations, the increasing erosion of nation-states and international borders, and the empowerment of private armies, security firms, and international drug cartels are now most tellingly demonstrated through a West African prism. West Africa provides an appropriate introduction to the issues, often extremely unpleasant to discuss, that will soon confront our civilization. ... -- Robert D. KaplanTragedy of the Commons Re-stated, by Jay Hanson, 6/14/97THE FATAL FREEDOM (the Tragedy of the Commons), by Jay Hanson 8/29/97.The Tragedy of the Commons (the original) , by Garrett Hardin (1968)EASTER's END, by Jared DiamondTHE TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS, By Gary W. Harding http://oto.wustl.edu/bbears/trajcom/trajcom.htmSUSTAINABILITYREFLECTIONS ON SUSTAINABILITY, POPULATION GROWTH, AND THE ENVIRONMENT - REVISITED, by Albert A. Bartlett, January 1998LAWS, HYPOTHESES, OBSERVATIONS AND PREDICTIONS RELATING TO SUSTAINABILITY from Al Bartlett (1994)The Meaning of Sustainability: Biogeophysical Aspects, by John P. Holdren, Gretchen C. Daily, and Paul R. Ehrlich (1995)Population, Sustainability, and Earth's Carrying Capacity: A framework for estimating population sizes and lifestyles that could be sustained without undermining future generations , by Gretchen C. Daily and Paul R. Ehrlich (1992)Three General Policies to Achieve Sustainability , by Robert Costanza (1994).Sustainable Development. Conventional versus Emergent Alternative Wisdom, by David Korten (1996).SUSTAINABLE ENGINEERING: Resource Load Carrying Capacity and K­phase Technology, by Peter Hartley (1993)Socioeconomic Equity: A Critical Element in Sustainability, by Gretchen C. Daily & Paul R. Ehrlich (Feb, 1995)Foreclosing the future, by Gretchen C. Daily (Nov. 1995)UNSUSTAINABILITY: A CONSENSUS is a short piece by Paul Ekins about unsustainability.CREATING JOBS IN A SUSTAINABLE WORLD, by Nadia Steinzor - ZPG Reporter (Sept/Oct, 1996)GREENING THE CORPORATION, by Ward Morehouse. Address to the Greens Gathering, Los Angeles, August 16, 1996OTHER ECOLOGYTHE LANGUAGE OF ECOLOGY defines "overshoot", crash" and "die-off".HUMAN APPROPRIATION OF THE PRODUCTS OF PHOTOSYNTHESIS, by Peter Vitousek, Paul R. Ehrlich, Anne H. Ehrlich and Pamela Matson (1986).The Patch Disturbance Species, by John Logan, Jan. 2, 1997.AMERICA'S TREES ARE DYING, by Charles E. Little (1995)WHAT DANGERS LIE AHEAD? by James E. Lovelock (1994)RETURN OF THE GROUP: People may have evolved to further collective as well as individual interests, by Bruce Bower (1995)OTHER SYSTEMSPOSITIVE FEEDBACK is an example of the catastrophic view.URBAN DYNAMICS a short clip from a book by Jay Forrester (1969)Rewards of Pejoristic Thinking, by Garrett Hardin (1977)WHO BENEFITS? WHO PAYS?. by Garrett Hardin (1985)An Ecolate View of the Human Predicament. by Garrett Hardin(date ?)The Problem of Induction, by Sir Karl Popper (1953, 1974)URBAN DYNAMICS a few quotes from Jay W. Forrester.LIMITS TO GROWTH discusses the Club of Rome's seminal work.ODDS AND ENDS"a kind of Pontius Pilate feeling"  -- by Jay Hanson, 04/01/97 ABSTRACT: In this essay, I examine the economic model of "rational man" and how the model legitimizes prevailing public policy. "Rational man" supposedly weighs the important, known variables and then makes that decision which is most likely to achieve the desired end (the greatest "utility"). Thus, we can say that public policy is founded on the notion that people calculate the utility of each decision, somewhat like a computer. Phillip Morris: "Smoking is a personal choice, and so is quitting."But modern cognitive science has shown that people do not make decisions by calculating the utility of each decision. Thus, economic "rational man" is a fraud that leaves the public exposed to ongoing economic and political exploitation by corporate media experts. Moreover, this fraud provides economists and political leaders with effective "moral cover", or in the words of Adolph Eichmann, "a kind of Pontius Pilate feeling" that leaves them free of all guilt for their dirty deeds. KNOW THYSELF -- A Report of the Dominant Animal Life on the Third Planet: Executive Summary, by Yaj, January 24, 1997.Requiem, by Jay Hanson, Feb, 20, 1998THE INDUSTRIAL RELIGION draws a parallel between the churchmen who fought against the Copernican Revolution and the modern economic "growthmen".THERMODYNAMICS AND THE SUSTAINABILITY OF FOOD PRODUCTION, by Jay Hanson, November 4, 1996WHERE WILL IT END? by Jay Hanson.SYSTEMS CRASH provides three different sources-using three different data sets-showing a worldwide includes a table showing review on WHO WILL FEED CHINA , a press THE COLLAPSE OF THE WORLD'S FISHERIES , an article on FISH FARMING , a short release on THE EARTH'S CARRYING CAPACITY , a clip from THE COMING ANARCHY , and a discussion of NPP .CORPORATE RULE gives a short history of the modern corporation and describes its essential functions. It also contains a book review of WHEN CORPORATIONS RULE THE WORLD by David Korten.ENDING CORPORATE GOVERNANCE: We The People Revoking Our Plutocracy.THE COMING ANARCHY, by Robert D. Kaplan, The Atlantic Monthly, February 1994. Quicktime Movie of Dead Babies Being Thrown Into a Dump Truck CNN, November 1996 [ Download the Quicktime Movie Player from Apple ]Rural Rwanda Faces Uneasy Balance of Fear as Refugees Return New York Times, December 26, 1996.ELEVEN INHERENT RULES OF CORPORATE BEHAVIOR is a short essay by Jerry Mander.ELECTRONIC HEROIN is about the addictive qualities of television.TV MUTANTS is about how television alters the human brain.BRAINWASHING is about how television influences human actions.WARREN CHRISTOPHER ON U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL DIPLOMACY (1996)UNDERWEIGHTING OF BASE-RATE INFORMATION REFLECTS IMPORTANT DIFFICULTIES PEOPLE HAVE WITH PROBABILISTIC INFERENCE by Robert M. Ham (1994)VICE PRESIDENT GORE CALLS FOR "ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT CARD" Challenges Federal Agencies, Scientific Community To Monitor Nation',s Ecosystems from The White House (1996)
 

Essays,

charts

and

links

illustrating

predicted

environmental

and

economic

trends

including

oil

reserve

depletion,

food

production,

and

population.

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Essays, charts and links illustrating predicted environmental and economic trends including oil reserve depletion, food production, and population.

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